Georgia HD #24 Special Election Runoff – Early Voting

There are just about two weeks before the next round of state legislative special elections in Georgia, with four special elections and two special election runoffs taking place July 14th.  In the coming weeks, I will be analyzing as many of these races as I can.

Since the Georgia State House District #24 special election was covered extensively here and here, I couldn’t resist looking at the amount of advance voting which has occurred so far, using the Voter Absentee files maintained by the Secretary of State’s Office.

As of last night, June 30th, 181 ballots have been cast in the HD #24 race, in the first two days of advance voting.  To compare, I determined the number of early votes cast with two weeks to go before the Special Election on June 16th.  Through June 2nd, a total of 289 ballots had been cast.   Some quick/random thoughts:

– At first glance, there seems to be a significant dropoff in the amount of advance voting up through the same period before the election.  However, there is a key difference between the two periods.  The early voting for the runoff encompasses only two days (June 29 & 30), as advance voting locations were only open starting Monday of this week.  Advance voting for the June special election began four days earlier, so those numbers reflect six days of balloting.

– Also, the total number of advance votes cast in the June election by precinct was as follows:

PrecinctTotal
Advance
Voting
Percent of
Advance
Voting
05-Coal Mtn 40 2.6 %
07-Cumming 24816.3 %
10-Midway 53835.4 %
15-Heardsville 141 9.3 %
16-Otwell 32921.7 %
29-Polo 22214.6 %
Total1,518

However, after two days of early voting so far in the runoff, the breakdown by precinct is somewhat different:

PrecinctTotal
Advance
Voting
Percent of
Advance
Voting
05-Coal Mtn 10 5.5 %
07-Cumming 16 8.8 %
10-Midway 3318.2 %
15-Heardsville 19 10.5 %
16-Otwell 6234.3 %
29-Polo 4122.7 %
Total 181

Again, it is difficult to draw too many conclusions based on just two days worth of data.  In the first round of  balloting, Sheri Gilligan received 58% of the advance in person vote in precinct #10 (Midway), so the drop-off there is interesting.  However, she also received greater than 50% of the early vote in precincts #16 (Otwell) and #29 (Polo), which have seen an increase.

Regardless, it bears watching.

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