Special Elections Update – July 21, 2015

After 6 state legislative special elections last Tuesday in Georgia, today is relatively quiet with only two key races.

In Wisconsin, the special election is today in State Senate District #33, in the western suburbs of Milwaukee (Waukesha County).  If you recall, State Assemblyman Chris Kapenga defeated Brian Dorow in the GOP primary last month, 52%-46%, thus effectively winning this seat in a very Republican District.  Kapenga’s Democratic opponent today is 2014 nominee Sherryll Shaddock.  I’m expecting the margin in this election to be 70%-30% for the Republican. Since I don’t anticipate much drama from tonight’s results, I’m most interested in finding out when Gov. Walker calls for the special election to fill Kapenga’s soon-to-be-vacated State Assembly District #99 seat, as this could become a very competitive GOP primary.

In Virginia, there is also a special election today in the 74th House of Delegates District in the Richmond area, with Democrat Lamont Bagby facing independent candidate David Lambert.  There is no GOP candidate.  Whomever wins this will only hold the seat for several months however, as Virginia holds its regular state legislative elections in November, one of only 4 states to do so.  Bagby just won the Democratic primary for the November election six weeks ago, so it would be a real surprise if he didn’t generate sufficient turnout to win today.

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