There are three special elections today for state legislative seats across the country. In Waukesha County, Wisconsin, Cindi Duchow will formally win election to WI State Assembly District #99, seeing as she won the Republican primary on September 1st in a race that was analyzed here. There are also primaries taking place as part of special elections in both Alabama and Minnesota.
There are two interesting special primary elections tomorrow; one in AL HD #5 in northern Alabama, and the other in MN HD #3A in northeastern Minnesota. I have had these two contests on my calendar for several weeks now, and have been studying and analyzing these districts and these races. I was especially eager to apply my methodology of geographically analyzing the addresses of campaign contributors to see how that impacts voting results, as I have done previously in special elections in Georgia, South Carolina, and Wisconsin.
In addition to the Democratic primary runoff in South Carolina Senate District #45, there is municipal voting today in Toledo, Ohio, and Charlotte, North Carolina. In Charlotte, there is both a Democratic and Republican primary for Mayor. On the Democratic side, six candidates are running, and a recent Charlotte Observer poll (which you can read more about here) found former County Commissioner Jennifer Roberts with a sizable lead over incumbent Dan Clodfelter, a pair of City Council members, and two others. Note that Mr. Clodfelter is an appointed incumbent, having been selected by Charlotte City Council after 2013’s elected Mayor, Patrick Cannon, resigned prior to being convicted and jailed for corruption. In North Carolina, a candidate must receive greater than 40% of the vote or face a runoff election against the second-place finisher. If a runoff is needed in the Democratic primary, it will take place in three weeks, on October 3rd.
There is a runoff election Tuesday in the Democratic primary for South Carolina State Senate District #45, which includes portions of six counties and stretches west from Charleston to the Georgia border. This is the seat previously held by the late State Senator Clementa Pinckney, who was tragically killed in his Charleston church in June. It is a solidly Democratic seat, so although the runoff winner will have to face a Republican candidate in the special election on October 20, the Democratic nominee is almost certain to win. The current composition of the South Carolina State Senate is 28 Republicans and 17 Democrats.
You might expect there to be little election activity this coming Tuesday, since it’s the day after Labor Day, but that is actually not the case. There are three local or special elections which have my attention. Here’s a quick preview:
Oklahoma State House District #85
The special election is on Tuesday in Oklahoma State House District #85 in the suburbs of Oklahoma City. The seat became vacant due to the sudden passing of five-term Representative David Dank (R) in April. Businessman Chip Carter won a four-way primary in July with 37% of the vote to become the Republican nominee. The Democratic nominee is Cyndi Munson, who ran against Rep. Dank for this seat in November 2014.
I wrote a detailed analysis and preview of yesterday’s Assembly District #99 Republican primary in Wisconsin (you can read it here). And as you know if you follow me on Twitter, where I was live-Tweeting the results last night, Cindi Duchow won with just over 40% of the vote.
Today, there is a special Republican primary election in Wisconsin State Assembly District #99 in Waukesha County, in the western suburbs of Milwaukee. This vacancy was created when GOP Assemblyman Chris Kapenga won a special election for State Senate in July.